# Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?". Above 3.7% leads at 20%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 6, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T17:54:03Z (6 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Aug 6, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 3.7% | 20% | 20% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0500000003).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-us-wage-growth-exceed-37-by-july-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaheg?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-us-wage-growth-exceed-37-by-july-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.