# Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will USA TODAY (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?". Yes leads at 67.5%. $4K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 5, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:16:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 5, 2026
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 67.5% | 67.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [seekingalpha.com](https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/TDAY/earnings).

## Settlement rules

As of market creation, USA TODAY is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for USA TODAY's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $-0.05 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if USA TODAY reports GAAP EPS greater than $-0.05 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.

If USA TODAY releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-usa-today-tday-beat-quarterly-earnings
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tday-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-28-2026-neg0pt05?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-usa-today-tday-beat-quarterly-earnings

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.