# Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Will Valve add first CS2 operation by...?". December 31, 2026 leads at 50%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 48.5%. $1K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:58:00Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| December 31, 2026 | 50% | 50% |
| June 30, 2027 | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| March 31, 2027 | 43% | 43% |
| November 30, 2026 | 40.5% | 40.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.

For the purpose of this market, a "CS2 operation" refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include:
-A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards.
-A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking.
-Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/will-valve-add-first-cs2-operation-by
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-valve-add-first-cs2-operation-by-2026-27?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/will-valve-add-first-cs2-operation-by

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.