# Women's Outdoor World Records to be Broken in 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Women's Outdoor World Records to be Broken in 2026". Women's 400m leads at 99%. Next is Women's Polevault at 95%. $2K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T07:23:05Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Women's 400m | 99% | 99% |
| Women's Polevault | 95% | 95% |
| Women's 400m Hurdles | 94% | 94% |
| Women's Marathon | 50% | 50% |
| Women's 5km | 5% | 5% |
| Women's 800m | 3% | 3% |
| Women's 3km Steeplechase | 2% | 2% |
| Women's 200m | 2% | 2% |
| Women's 1500m | 2% | 2% |
| Women's 100m | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [World Athletics](https://worldathletics.org/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/womens-outdoor-world-records-to-be-broken-in-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtfworldrecord?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/womens-outdoor-world-records-to-be-broken-in-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.