# Worlds 2026 Most Banned Champion: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Worlds 2026 Most Banned Champion". Nocturne leads at 92%. Next is Lee Sin at 40.8%. $43K has traded across 51 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T22:06:03Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2026
- Volume traded: $43K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Nocturne | 92% | 93.5% | 88% | 5.5 pts |
| Lee Sin | 40.8% | 80.1% | 1.5% | 78.5 pts |
| Ezreal | 11.8% | 22.2% | 1.5% | 20.7 pts |
| Vi | 7.5% | 5.8% | 10% | 4.3 pts |
| Cassiopeia | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Alistar | 3.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Renata Glasc | 3.1% | 3.1% | — | not on both |
| Kalista | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Locke | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Olaf | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Qiyana | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Renekton | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Syndra | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Trundle | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Yunara | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Nautilus | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Jarvan IV | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Akali | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Ambessa | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Anivia | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Annie | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Azir | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Bard | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Caitlyn | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Camille | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Gnar | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Jayce | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| K'Sante | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Kai'Sa | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Karma | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Lucian | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Lulu | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Naafiri | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Neeko | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Orianna | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Pantheon | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Poppy | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Rakan | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Ryze | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Seraphine | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 51 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [lol.fandom.com](https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [LoL Esports](https://lolesports.com/en-US/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/worlds-2026-most-banned-champion
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/most-banned-champion-at-worlds-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlolmbc?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/worlds-2026-most-banned-champion

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.