# Worlds 2026 Most Picked Champion: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Worlds 2026 Most Picked Champion". Nocturne leads at 94%. Next is Lee Sin at 67.4%. $42K has traded across 51 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T00:34:03Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2026
- Volume traded: $42K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Nocturne | 94% | 94% | — | not on both |
| Lee Sin | 67.4% | 80.3% | 42% | 38.3 pts |
| Ezreal | 18.5% | 19.4% | 16% | 3.4 pts |
| Alistar | 5.8% | 4.5% | 9% | 4.5 pts |
| Vi | 4.1% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 5.1 pts |
| Rumble | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5% | 2.5 pts |
| Nautilus | 3.6% | 0.8% | 6.5% | 5.8 pts |
| Jarvan IV | 3.5% | 1.9% | 5% | 3.1 pts |
| Olaf | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Renata Glasc | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Orianna | 2.3% | 0.4% | 8% | 7.6 pts |
| Qiyana | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Ambessa | 1.5% | 0.1% | 3% | 3.0 pts |
| Ahri | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Akali | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Ashe | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Bard | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Caitlyn | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Camille | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Cho'Gath | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Corki | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Galio | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Gnar | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Jayce | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Jhin | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Kalista | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Karma | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Lucian | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Milio | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Naafiri | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Pantheon | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Rakan | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Rell | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Renekton | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Ryze | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Seraphine | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Sion | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Skarner | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Taliyah | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |
| Trundle | 1.5% | — | 1.5% | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 51 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [lol.fandom.com](https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [LoL Esports](https://lolesports.com/en-US/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/worlds-2026-most-picked-champion
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/most-banned-champion-at-worlds-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlolmpc?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/worlds-2026-most-picked-champion

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.