Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Above 10%
$2K volume
92.0%
—
Above 20%
$8K volume
68.0%
—
Above 30%
$11K volume
50.0%
—
Above 50%
$9K volume
21.0%
—
Live marketEnds May 1, 2030 (4y 26d)Updated 14m ago
EV market share in 2030?
Live prediction market odds for "EV market share in 2030?". Above 10% is leading at 92.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 20% at 68.0%. Total volume is $30K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2030.
Leading Outcome
Above 10%
92.0%
Total Vol
$30K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "EV market share in 2030?". Above 10% is leading at 92.0%. The next most likely outcome is Above 20% at 68.0%. Total volume is $30K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 1, 2030.
Expected resolution date: May 1, 2030.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
60%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.146 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
60%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
60%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
194h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
60%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
194h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
EV Magnet Market Insights and Growth Forecast to 2030: Electric Buses & Trucks Dominate Market Share - GlobeNewswire
GlobeNewswire·3d ago·bullish
China's 2030 Climate Playbook & EV Market Analysis - Discovery Alert
Discovery Alert·3d ago·neutral
EV Magnet Market Insights and Growth Forecast to 2030: Electric Buses & Trucks Dominate Market Share
Bing News·3d ago·bullish
EV progress report: EV sales and affordability are reaching a tipping point - transportenvironment.org
transportenvironment.org·5d ago·neutral
EU fleets law could provide over half the EV sales carmakers need in 2030 - new research - transportenvironment.org
transportenvironment.org·6d ago·neutral
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