We track every open market on 
Kalshi and 
Polymarket, match the same question across venues, and show where prices agree, disagree and move.
Open markets tracked
11,468
$8.3B all-time volume on the markets open now
Kalshi and Polymarket disagree
Kalshi
Polymarket
The same outcome on both venues, with settlement rules checked by a person. Busiest markets first; each row shows how old its prices are.
22¢23¢Showing 8 of 19 verified price gaps. See every matched market in the scanner
VidantaWorld Mexico Open WinnerWyndham Clark at 7¢$1.9M in 24hGolden State vs Denver: SpreadGolden State wins by over 1.5 points at 86¢$2.6M in 24hWhich party will win the U.S. House?Democratic Party at 91¢$1.9M in 24hPro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee at 96¢$1.4M in 24hFed Decision in October?No change at 94¢$7.1M in 24hLive 2026 Midterms
Polls open in7days06hrs27min03secKalshi and Polymarket, side by side, for every Senate, House and governor race. Markets expect 5 Senate seats to change party.
Projected Senate
Faded ends are seats not up this year. Each race counts for the party the two venues favour on average.
RatingDemocrats blue, republicans red.
LiveConnected to Kalshi and PolymarketKalshiPolymarket
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Golden State vs Denver ⚽ Sports | Golden State 99% | $15.5M | in 2 days | View |
Golden State vs Denver: Spread ⚽ Sports | Golden State wins by over 1.5 points 99% | $3.8M | in 2 days | View |
Gadi Eizenkot 57% | $3.2M | in 23h | Compare | |
Over 215.5 points 99% | $2.7M | in 2 days | View | |
Fed decision in Oct 2026? 📈 Economics | Fed maintains rate 93% | $2.2M | in 2 days | Compare |
2027 Pro Football Champion ⚽ Sports | San Francisco 15% | $2.2M | Feb 13, 2029 | View |
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? 🏛️ Politics | Democrats sweep 64% | $2.1M | Feb 1, 2027 | Compare |
VidantaWorld Mexico Open Winner ⚽ Sports | Wyndham Clark 7% | $2.0M | Nov 15 | Compare |
Democratic Party 90% | $1.9M | Feb 1, 2027 | View | |
Pro Baseball Champion ⚽ Sports | Milwaukee 96% | $1.4M | Oct 31, 2028 | View |
Texas Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | James Talarico 65% | $1.4M | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms 🏛️ Politics | Democrats Sweep 66% | $1.2M | in 8 days | Compare |
Texas Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | Greg Abbott 69% | $1.1M | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Game 4: Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay ⚽ Sports | Milwaukee 58% | $1.0M | in 4 days | Compare |
Golden State vs Denver: Points ⚽ Sports | Brandin Podziemski: 15+ 99% | $1.0M | in 2 days | View |
France declares state of emergency by...? 🏛️ Politics | December 31 10% | $995K | in 5 days | Compare |
Putintseva vs Sakkari ⚽ Sports | Yulia Putintseva 83% | $986K | in 14 days | View |
New Zealand A vs India A ⚽ Sports | India A 56% | $907K | in 4 days | Compare |
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? 🏛️ Politics | Democratic Party 65% | $825K | Feb 1, 2027 | Compare |
Worlds 2026: Winner 📊 Other | Gen.G 44% | $708K | Nov 29 | View |
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 🏛️ Politics | J.D. Vance 38% | $676K | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
South Carolina Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Darline Graham 77% | $627K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
2027 Pro Basketball Champion ⚽ Sports | San Antonio 21% | $601K | Jul 30, 2029 | View |
Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026? 📊 Climate | Minneapolis 99% | $586K | in 3h | View |
Hayasaka vs Moon ⚽ Sports | Kurea Hayasaka 81% | $571K | in 14 days | View |
2028 Republican nominee for President? 🏛️ Politics | J.D. Vance 40% | $559K | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
320-339 67% | $529K | in 11h | View | |
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? 🏛️ Politics | Anna Kelly 20% | $527K | Jan 27, 2029 | Compare |
William Contreras 55% | $467K | Dec 8 | Compare | |
2028 Democratic nominee for President? 🏛️ Politics | Gavin Newsom 15% | $461K | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? 📊 Other | Yes 4% | $459K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Bitcoin above ___ on October 27? ₿ Crypto | 74,000 100% | $456K | in 11h | Compare |
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 ₿ Crypto | 80,000 to 84,999.99 16% | $421K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Michigan Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Abdul El-Sayed 68% | $395K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Florida Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Ashley Moody 89% | $371K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Anthropic IPO by __? 📈 Economics | December 31, 2026 94% | $357K | in 5 days | Compare |
Sagandykova vs Lin ⚽ Sports | Aruzhan Sagandykova 98% | $350K | in 14 days | View |
Waltert vs Teichmann ⚽ Sports | Jil Teichmann 84% | $349K | in 13 days | View |
$74,000 or above 100% | $348K | in 27 min | View | |
Parry vs Bucsa ⚽ Sports | Diane Parry 52% | $347K | in 13 days | View |
NFC East Division Winner ⚽ Sports | Dallas 46% | $346K | Jan 25, 2027 | View |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 🏛️ Politics | March 31 60% | $342K | in 5 days | View |
$70,500 or above 99% | $333K | in 4 days | View | |
Sasnovich vs Bartunkova ⚽ Sports | Nikola Bartunkova 65% | $331K | in 13 days | View |
$74,750 or above 100% | $328K | in 16h | View | |
Before Apr 1, 2027 96% | $306K | Apr 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Massachusetts Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | Maura Healey 95% | $305K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Georgia 18% | $287K | Feb 23, 2027 | View | |
Hsu vs Smith ⚽ Sports | Keegan Smith 75% | $272K | in 14 days | Compare |
Golden State vs DenverGolden State$15.5M todayEnds in 2 days99%Golden State vs Denver: SpreadGolden State wins by over 1.5 points$3.8M todayEnds in 2 days99%Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot$3.2M todayEnds in 23h57%Golden State vs Denver: Total PointsOver 215.5 points$2.7M todayEnds in 2 days99%Fed decision in Oct 2026?Fed maintains rate$2.2M todayEnds in 2 days93%2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco$2.2M todayEnds Feb 13, 202915%2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?Democrats sweep$2.1M todayEnds Feb 1, 202764%VidantaWorld Mexico Open WinnerWyndham Clark$2.0M todayEnds Nov 157%Which party will win the U.S. House?Democratic Party$1.9M todayEnds Feb 1, 202790%Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee$1.4M todayEnds Oct 31, 202896%Texas Senate winner?James Talarico$1.4M todayEnds Nov 3, 202765%Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep$1.2M todayEnds in 8 days66%Texas Governor winner?Greg Abbott$1.1M todayEnds Nov 3, 202769%Game 4: Milwaukee vs Tampa BayMilwaukee$1.0M todayEnds in 4 days58%Golden State vs Denver: PointsBrandin Podziemski: 15+$1.0M todayEnds in 2 days99%France declares state of emergency by...?December 31$995K todayEnds in 5 days10%Putintseva vs SakkariYulia Putintseva$986K todayEnds in 14 days83%New Zealand A vs India AIndia A$907K todayEnds in 4 days56%Which party will win the U.S. Senate?Democratic Party$825K todayEnds Feb 1, 202765%Worlds 2026: WinnerGen.G$708K todayEnds Nov 2944%Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance$676K todayEnds Nov 7, 202838%South Carolina Senate winner?Darline Graham$627K todayEnds Nov 3, 202777%2027 Pro Basketball ChampionSan Antonio$601K todayEnds Jul 30, 202921%Where will it rain on Oct 26, 2026?Minneapolis$586K todayEnds in 3h99%Hayasaka vs MoonKurea Hayasaka$571K todayEnds in 14 days81%2028 Republican nominee for President?J.D. Vance$559K todayEnds Nov 7, 202840%Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?320-339$529K todayEnds in 11h67%Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly$527K todayEnds Jan 27, 202920%Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP WinnerWilliam Contreras$467K todayEnds Dec 855%2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom$461K todayEnds Nov 7, 202815%Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes$459K todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%Bitcoin above ___ on October 27?74,000$456K todayEnds in 11h100%Bitcoin price at the end of 202680,000 to 84,999.99$421K todayEnds Jan 1, 202716%Michigan Senate winner?Abdul El-Sayed$395K todayEnds Nov 3, 202768%Florida Senate winner?Ashley Moody$371K todayEnds Nov 3, 202789%Anthropic IPO by __?December 31, 2026$357K todayEnds in 5 days94%Sagandykova vs LinAruzhan Sagandykova$350K todayEnds in 14 days98%Waltert vs TeichmannJil Teichmann$349K todayEnds in 13 days84%BTC price on Oct 27, 2026 at 1am EDT?$74,000 or above$348K todayEnds in 27 min100%Parry vs BucsaDiane Parry$347K todayEnds in 13 days52%NFC East Division WinnerDallas$346K todayEnds Jan 25, 202746%US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31$342K todayEnds in 5 days60%BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?$70,500 or above$333K todayEnds in 4 days99%Sasnovich vs BartunkovaNikola Bartunkova$331K todayEnds in 13 days65%BTC price on Oct 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?$74,750 or above$328K todayEnds in 16h100%When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 2027$306K todayEnds Apr 1, 202796%Massachusetts Governor winner?Maura Healey$305K todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia$287K todayEnds Feb 23, 202718%Hsu vs SmithKeegan Smith$272K todayEnds in 14 days75%