Fed maintains rate
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
- Lead odds
- 93.0%
- 24H volume
- $857K
- Observed
- fresh · 42s ago
Search Kalshi and Polymarket, check the odds, and compare the same outcome across both venues.
KalshiPolymarket
The same outcome on both venues, with settlement rules checked by a person. Busiest markets first; each row shows how old its prices are.
Showing 8 of 33 verified price gaps. See every matched market in the scanner
Connected to Kalshi and Polymarket. Event list synced under a minute ago
| Venues | Event | Lead odds | 24H volume | State | Closes | Observed | Compare prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decision in Oct 2026? Fed maintains rate · 📈 economics Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 93.0% | $857K | Open · recently observed | 5d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| US gas prices tomorrow Above 4.2300 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $355K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026? ↑ $100 · 📈 economics | 100.0% | $329K | Open · recently observed | 9d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| US gas prices this week Above 4.1200 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $185K | Open · recently observed | 3d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| S&P price on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 7,560 or above · 📈 economics | 99.5% | $172K | Closing soon | 1h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 22, 2026 at 4pm EDT? 28,390 or above · 📈 economics | 99.5% | $147K | Closing soon | 1h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? Above 91,500 MW · 📈 economics | 4.0% | $121K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes · 📈 economics | 75.5% | $100K | Open · recently observed | 1mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026? Hike 25bps · 📈 economics | 79.0% | $91K | Open · recently observed | 5d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 22, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 28,660 or above · 📈 economics | 99.5% | $81K | Closing soon | <1h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? NVIDIA · 📈 economics | 62.5% | $74K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap $1.75–$2.0T · 📈 economics | 28.0% | $70K | Open · recently observed | 14mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026? 4.96% or above · 📈 economics | 48.0% | $68K | Closing soon | <1h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Texas crude oil production in 2026 Above 5.6 million barrels/day · 📈 economics | 98.0% | $61K | Open · recently observed | 5mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026? Above 3.70 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $60K | Open · recently observed | 8d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| S&P close price end of 2026? 7,800 to 7,999.99 · 📈 economics | 24.0% | $60K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Ohio gas prices tomorrow Above 4.1400 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $57K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Michigan gas prices tomorrow Above 4.6550 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $56K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Illinois gas prices tomorrow Above 4.6800 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $54K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| New Hampshire gas prices tomorrow Above 4.1950 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $51K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow Above 4.1850 · 📈 economics | 99.5% | $50K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026 Above 80,000 jobs · 📈 economics | 97.0% | $45K | Open · recently observed | 6mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| 10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? 3.5% or above · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $44K | Open · recently observed | 14mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Number of rate cuts in 2026? Exactly 0 cuts · 📈 economics Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 94.1% | $41K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 22? $95 · 📈 economics | 98.9% | $41K | Closing soon | 3h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| New Jersey gas prices tomorrow Above 4.1700 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $39K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| How high will WTI oil get by Dec 31, 2026? $115.01 or above · 📈 economics | 35.4% | $37K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? 33,000.01 or above · 📈 economics | 12.0% | $37K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026? ↓ $4,000 · 📈 economics | 75.0% | $35K | Open · recently observed | 9d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? Before 2028 · 📈 economics | 77.0% | $33K | Open · recently observed | 6mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Mississippi gas prices tomorrow Above 3.8350 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $33K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| S&P price on Oct 22, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,570 or above · 📈 economics | 99.5% | $33K | Closing soon | <1h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| US headline CPI inflation in December 2027 Above 0.0% · 📈 economics | 98.0% | $32K | Open · recently observed | 15mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Indiana gas prices tomorrow Above 3.8950 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $32K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Louisiana gas prices tomorrow Above 3.7900 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $29K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? 2% or above · 📈 economics | 98.0% | $29K | Open · recently observed | 14mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026? ↓ $54 · 📈 economics | 81.0% | $28K | Open · recently observed | 9d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Alabama gas prices tomorrow Above 3.8300 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $27K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| CPI in October Above -0.1% · 📈 economics Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 99.0% | $27K | Open · recently observed | 18d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? ↑$1.5T · 📈 economics | 93.0% | $25K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 22? $755 · 📈 economics | 99.9% | $24K | Closing soon | 1h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Rogue Point of Sale Growth in October Above 65 · 📈 economics | 96.0% | $22K | Open · recently observed | 11d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? 5.4% · 📈 economics Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 32.0% | $22K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026 Above 3.8000 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $22K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Fed decision in Dec 2026? Hike 25bps · 📈 economics Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 68.0% | $21K | Open · recently observed | 1mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3 Above 100 thousand · 📈 economics | 97.0% | $21K | Open · recently observed | 3mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Kansas gas prices tomorrow Above 3.9250 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $20K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Grok App Downloads in October 2026 Above 25 · 📈 economics | 99.0% | $20K | Open · recently observed | 16d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| Alani Nu Point of Sale Growth in October Above 130 · 📈 economics | 98.0% | $20K | Open · recently observed | 11d | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → | |
| How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027? Below 5.20% · 📈 economics Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 56.0% | $20K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 42s ago | View prices → |
Fed maintains rate
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Above 4.2300
↑ $100
Above 4.1200
7,560 or above
28,390 or above
Above 91,500 MW
Yes
Hike 25bps
28,660 or above
NVIDIA
$1.75–$2.0T
4.96% or above
Above 5.6 million barrels/day
Above 3.70
7,800 to 7,999.99
Above 4.1400
Above 4.6550
Above 4.6800
Above 4.1950
Above 4.1850
Above 80,000 jobs
3.5% or above
Exactly 0 cuts
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
$95
Above 4.1700
$115.01 or above
33,000.01 or above
↓ $4,000
Before 2028
Above 3.8350
7,570 or above
Above 0.0%
Above 3.8950
Above 3.7900
2% or above
↓ $54
Above 3.8300
Above -0.1%
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
↑$1.5T
$755
Above 65
5.4%
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Above 3.8000
Hike 25bps
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Above 100 thousand
Above 3.9250
Above 25
Above 130
Below 5.20%
Comparable across venues · rules unverified