Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
25°C
$51K volume
99.9%
—
24°C
$63K volume
0.4%
—
19°C or below
$8K volume
0.1%
—
22°C
$4K volume
0.1%
—
29°C or higher
$23K volume
0.1%
—
28°C
$19K volume
0.1%
—
21°C
$5K volume
0.1%
—
23°C
$9K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 5, 2026 (Ended)Updated 2m ago
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 5?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 5?". 25°C is leading at 99.9%. The next most likely outcome is 24°C at 0.4%. Total volume is $278K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 5, 2026.
Leading Outcome
25°C
99.9%
Total Vol
$278K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 5?". 25°C is leading at 99.9%. The next most likely outcome is 24°C at 0.4%. Total volume is $278K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 5, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 5, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 39 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
1
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
38h
Sources
1
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
38h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6? - Polymarket
Polymarket·21h ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 5? - Polymarket
Polymarket·1d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 5? - Polymarket
Polymarket·1d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 5? - Polymarket
Polymarket·1d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 5? - Polymarket
Polymarket·1d ago·neutral
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