Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
46-47°F
$39K volume
100.0%
—
52°F or higher
$77K volume
0.1%
—
50-51°F
$42K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 15, 2026 (Ended)Updated 20d ago
Highest temperature in NYC on March 15?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 15?". 46-47°F is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 52°F or higher at 0.1%. Total volume is $347K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Leading Outcome
46-47°F
100.0%
Total Vol
$347K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 15?". 46-47°F is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 52°F or higher at 0.1%. Total volume is $347K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 15, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 29 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
2
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
159h
Sources
2
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
159h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 7? - Polymarket
Polymarket·1d ago·neutral
March temperatures to end on a high note for NY, NJ
Bing News·5d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 2? - Polymarket
Polymarket·5d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 30? - Polymarket
Polymarket·6d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 3? - Polymarket
Polymarket·6d ago·neutral
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