Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
52-53°F
$65K volume
100.0%
—
56-57°F
$25K volume
0.1%
—
62°F or higher
$32K volume
0.1%
—
58-59°F
$36K volume
0.1%
—
54-55°F
$63K volume
0.1%
—
60-61°F
$19K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 20, 2026 (Ended)Updated 15d ago
Highest temperature in NYC on March 20?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 20?". 52-53°F is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 56-57°F at 0.1%. Total volume is $382K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 20, 2026.
Leading Outcome
52-53°F
100.0%
Total Vol
$382K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in NYC on March 20?". 52-53°F is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 56-57°F at 0.1%. Total volume is $382K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 20, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 20, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 21 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
176h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
176h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Cities over 100 degrees & states that set heat records in March
Bing News·2d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 3? - Polymarket
Polymarket·2d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 1? - Polymarket
Polymarket·4d ago·neutral
March temperatures to end on a high note for NY, NJ
Bing News·5d ago·neutral
California’s Warmest, Driest March in Years Is Finally Ending - nytimes.com
nytimes.com·6d ago·neutral
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