Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
11°C
$54K volume
100.0%
—
14°C
$17K volume
0.1%
—
15°C
$12K volume
0.1%
—
13°C
$107K volume
0.1%
—
16°C or higher
$10K volume
0.1%
—
12°C
$47K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 1, 2026 (Ended)Updated 3d ago
Highest temperature in Paris on April 1?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Paris on April 1?". 11°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 14°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $308K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 1, 2026.
Leading Outcome
11°C
100.0%
Total Vol
$308K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Paris on April 1?". 11°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 14°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $308K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 1, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 1, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 37 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
1
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
108h
Sources
1
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
108h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Highest temperature in Miami on April 5? Cotes de paris et prédictions (Apr. 5, 2026) - Polymarket
Polymarket·1d ago·neutral
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5? Cotes de paris et prédictions (Apr. 5, 2026) - Polymarket
Polymarket·1d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 1? - Polymarket
Polymarket·4d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on April 3? - Polymarket
Polymarket·4d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on April 3? - Polymarket
Polymarket·4d ago·neutral
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