Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
14°C or higher
$57K volume
100.0%
—
13°C
$25K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 22, 2026 (Ended)Updated 14d ago
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?". 14°C or higher is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 13°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $430K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 22, 2026.
Leading Outcome
14°C or higher
100.0%
Total Vol
$430K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Seoul on March 22?". 14°C or higher is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 13°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $430K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 22, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 22, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 48 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
3844h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
3844h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on March 30? - Polymarket
Polymarket·6d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 24? - Polymarket
Polymarket·13d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 22? - Polymarket
Polymarket·14d ago·neutral
Spring weather in South Korea till Feb 21 before sudden temperature drop - The Straits Times
The Straits Times·44d ago·neutral
First Snow on Seoraksan; Chilly Spell to Follow Autumn Rains - 동아사이언스
동아사이언스·92d ago·neutral
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