Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
23°C or higher
$5K volume
49.5%
—
22°C
$4K volume
35.0%
—
21°C
$4K volume
17.5%
—
20°C
$5K volume
3.7%
—
19°C
$5K volume
0.4%
—
18°C
$4K volume
0.2%
—
15°C
$2K volume
0.1%
—
14°C
$2K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 6, 2026 (13h)Updated 14m ago
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?". 23°C or higher is leading at 49.5%. The next most likely outcome is 22°C at 35.0%. Total volume is $44K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 6, 2026.
Leading Outcome
23°C or higher
49.5%
Total Vol
$44K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?". 23°C or higher is leading at 49.5%. The next most likely outcome is 22°C at 35.0%. Total volume is $44K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 6, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 6, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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