Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
18°C
$49K volume
100.0%
—
20°C
$36K volume
0.1%
—
19°C
$30K volume
0.1%
—
21°C or higher
$29K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 19, 2026 (Ended)Updated 17d ago
Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 19?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 19?". 18°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 20°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $410K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 19, 2026.
Leading Outcome
18°C
100.0%
Total Vol
$410K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 19?". 18°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 20°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $410K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 19, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 19, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 13 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
450h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
450h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2? - Polymarket
Polymarket·5d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 2? - Polymarket
Polymarket·6d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 24? - Polymarket
Polymarket·13d ago·neutral
A temperatura máxima em Seul será de 3°C ou menos em 19 de março? - Polymarket
Polymarket·17d ago·neutral
Tokyo's sakura season begins, peak bloom likely within a week - 朝日新聞
朝日新聞·17d ago·neutral
Related Markets Markets
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Lead 100.0% · Spread -1.5
Vol $5.1M
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes
Lead 100.0% · Spread -4.5
Vol $4.4M
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 16?
Lead 100.0% · 19°C
Vol $2.8M
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets
Lead 0.1% · O/U 6.5
Vol $2.2M
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Lead 86.0% · 8+
Vol $1.8M
Penguins vs. Hurricanes
Lead 0.1% · Spread -1.5
Vol $1.7M