Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
1°C
$31K volume
100.0%
—
2°C
$19K volume
0.1%
—
4°C
$16K volume
0.1%
—
5°C
$12K volume
0.1%
—
6°C
$12K volume
0.1%
—
7°C or higher
$18K volume
0.1%
—
3°C
$35K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 12, 2026 (Ended)Updated 24d ago
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 12?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Toronto on March 12?". 1°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 2°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $158K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 12, 2026.
Leading Outcome
1°C
100.0%
Total Vol
$158K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Toronto on March 12?". 1°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 2°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $158K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 12, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 12, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 23 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
604h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
604h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 1? - Polymarket
Polymarket·5d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 25? - Polymarket
Polymarket·12d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22? - Polymarket
Polymarket·14d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19? - Polymarket
Polymarket·20d ago·neutral
Toronto’s March 12 forecast: Chance of flurries - Toronto.com
Toronto.com·25d ago·neutral
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