Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
19°C
$68K volume
100.0%
—
20°C
$49K volume
0.1%
—
23°C or higher
$50K volume
0.1%
—
22°C
$32K volume
0.1%
—
21°C
$36K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 23, 2026 (Ended)Updated 13d ago
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 23?
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 23?". 19°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 20°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $367K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 23, 2026.
Leading Outcome
19°C
100.0%
Total Vol
$367K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Highest temperature in Wellington on March 23?". 19°C is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is 20°C at 0.1%. Total volume is $367K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 23, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 23, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 31 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
296h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
296h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C or below on April 8? - Polymarket
Polymarket·2d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 6? - Polymarket
Polymarket·3d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 1? - Polymarket
Polymarket·5d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 30? - Polymarket
Polymarket·6d ago·neutral
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 24? - Polymarket
Polymarket·12d ago·neutral
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