Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
38° or above
$8K volume
99.0%
—
36° to 37°
$6K volume
7.0%
—
29° or below
$934 volume
1.0%
—
30° to 31°
$995 volume
1.0%
—
34° to 35°
$3K volume
1.0%
—
32° to 33°
$582 volume
1.0%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 6, 2026 (3h)Updated 15m ago
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Apr 5, 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Lowest temperature in Chicago on Apr 5, 2026?". 38° or above is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is 36° to 37° at 7.0%. Total volume is $19K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 6, 2026.
Leading Outcome
38° or above
99.0%
Total Vol
$19K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Lowest temperature in Chicago on Apr 5, 2026?". 38° or above is leading at 99.0%. The next most likely outcome is 36° to 37° at 7.0%. Total volume is $19K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 6, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 6, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
57%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.095 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
15h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
15h
Avg Sentiment
-0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Cubs 1-0 Guardians (Apr 5, 2026) Game Recap - ESPN
ESPN·2h ago·neutral
Travel Chaos Grips Chicago O’Hare With 640 Delays, 87 Cancellations - thetraveler.org
thetraveler.org·5h ago·bearish
Our Chicago: How data centers could positively, negatively impact people living in Illinois, Chicago suburbs - ABC7 Chicago
ABC7 Chicago·11h ago·neutral
Storms Snarl Houston Flights, Ripple Delays Across U.S. - thetraveler.org
thetraveler.org·13h ago·bearish
Weather Chaos Snarls Reagan National and Major US Hubs - thetraveler.org
thetraveler.org·13h ago·neutral
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