Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
46° to 47°
$995 volume
59.0%
—
48° to 49°
$2K volume
46.0%
—
45° or below
$4K volume
12.0%
—
50° to 51°
$2K volume
1.0%
—
52° to 53°
$2K volume
1.0%
—
54° or above
$2K volume
1.0%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 6, 2026 (7h)Updated 5m ago
Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Apr 5, 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Apr 5, 2026?". 46° to 47° is leading at 59.0%. The next most likely outcome is 48° to 49° at 46.0%. Total volume is $13K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 6, 2026.
Leading Outcome
46° to 47°
59.0%
Total Vol
$13K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Lowest temperature in Philadelphia on Apr 5, 2026?". 46° to 47° is leading at 59.0%. The next most likely outcome is 48° to 49° at 46.0%. Total volume is $13K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 6, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 6, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
56%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.086 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 1 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
13h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
56%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
40%
Median Age
13h
Avg Sentiment
-0.100
Neutral %
60%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Rain moves thru Philadelphia area on Easter Sunday before late-day sun. Here's the weather forecast. - CBS News
CBS News·6h ago·neutral
Philadelphia Flight Chaos Strands Travelers Across Northeast - thetraveler.org
thetraveler.org·7h ago·neutral
April 5 Easter Sunday Rain With Some Thunder Then Colder For A Few Days - Just In Weather
Just In Weather·8h ago·neutral
After Pittsburgh's record-setting high temperatures, cool weather and rain moves in - CBS News
CBS News·8h ago·neutral
Philadelphia Airport Meltdown Strands Northeast Travelers - thetraveler.org
thetraveler.org·11h ago·neutral
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