Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
1.29ºC
$61K volume
57.9%
—
1.25–1.29ºC
$31K volume
35.9%
—
1.20–1.24ºC
$52K volume
4.5%
—
1.15–1.19ºC
$63K volume
1.4%
—
1.10ºC
$35K volume
0.4%
—
1.10–1.14ºC
$38K volume
0.3%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 10, 2026 (3d)Updated 9m ago
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Live prediction market odds for "March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)". 1.29ºC is leading at 57.9%. The next most likely outcome is 1.25–1.29ºC at 35.9%. Total volume is $280K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 10, 2026.
Leading Outcome
1.29ºC
57.9%
Total Vol
$280K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)". 1.29ºC is leading at 57.9%. The next most likely outcome is 1.25–1.29ºC at 35.9%. Total volume is $280K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 10, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 10, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
Related Markets Markets
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Lead 100.0% · Spread -1.5
Vol $5.1M
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes
Lead 100.0% · Spread -4.5
Vol $4.4M
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 16?
Lead 100.0% · 19°C
Vol $2.8M
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets
Lead 0.1% · O/U 6.5
Vol $2.2M
Hurricanes vs. Senators
Lead 100.0% · O/U 7.5
Vol $1.9M
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Lead 87.5% · 8+
Vol $1.8M