Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
By 2030
$6K volume
25.0%
—
By 2025
$45K volume
6.0%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2035 (9y 271d)Updated 10m ago
US meets its climate goals?
Live prediction market odds for "US meets its climate goals?". By 2030 is leading at 25.0%. The next most likely outcome is By 2025 at 6.0%. Total volume is $51K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2035.
Leading Outcome
By 2030
25.0%
Total Vol
$51K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "US meets its climate goals?". By 2030 is leading at 25.0%. The next most likely outcome is By 2025 at 6.0%. Total volume is $51K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2035.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2035.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
4
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
747h
Sources
4
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
747h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
AI's Arrival Complicates Big Tech Climate Goals, and Some Worry It's Locking in More Fossil Fuels
Bing News·9d ago·neutral
Hochul: NYS needs more time to meet its clean energy goals
Bing News·16d ago·neutral
Hochul says NY can’t meet its own climate targets, so she wants to change them - Syracuse.com
Syracuse.com·16d ago·neutral
Germany narrowly meets climate targets as emissions barely fall in 2025 - The Guardian
The Guardian·22d ago·neutral
Poll: Are New York State's climate goals affordable?
Bing News·30d ago·neutral
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