Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Before Jun 2028
$3K volume
90.0%
—
Before May 2028
$4K volume
68.0%
—
Before Apr 2028
$3K volume
45.0%
—
Before Mar 2028
$8K volume
12.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 1, 2028 (2y 57d)Updated 14m ago
When will Bitcoin have its next halving?
Live prediction market odds for "When will Bitcoin have its next halving?". Before Jun 2028 is leading at 90.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before May 2028 at 68.0%. Total volume is $18K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 1, 2028.
Leading Outcome
Before Jun 2028
90.0%
Total Vol
$18K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "When will Bitcoin have its next halving?". Before Jun 2028 is leading at 90.0%. The next most likely outcome is Before May 2028 at 68.0%. Total volume is $18K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 1, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Jun 1, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 10 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
340h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
340h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
New Bitcoin Study Says 4-Year Halving Cycle Is Fundamental
Bing News·6d ago·neutral
Top cryptocurrencies to buy before the next Bitcoin halving
Bing News·10d ago·neutral
Best Cryptocurrencies to Buy Before the Next Bitcoin Halving - Yahoo Finance
Yahoo Finance·11d ago·neutral
Best cryptocurrencies to buy before the next Bitcoin halving
Bing News·11d ago·neutral
Bitcoin Halving Dates: Complete Guide, History & Future Outlook - coinpaper.com
coinpaper.com·12d ago·neutral
Related Crypto Markets
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
Lead 0.1% · 80,000
Vol $99.6M
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Lead 76.0% · 55,000
Vol $29.4M
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
Lead 0.1% · 2,400
Vol $25.2M
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Lead 11.0% · Before July 2026
Vol $23.1M
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Lead 13.0% · December 31, 2026
Vol $22.0M
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Lead 6.7% · 65,000 to 69,999.99
Vol $16.6M