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Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2025 (Ended)Updated 2m ago

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Live prediction market odds for "Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?". June 30, 2026 is leading at 60.5%. The next most likely outcome is December 31, 2026 at 53.5%. Total volume is $29K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2025.

Leading Outcome
June 30, 2026
60.5%
Total Vol
$29K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
June 30, 2026
$314 volume
60.5%
—
December 31, 2026
$22K volume
53.5%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?". June 30, 2026 is leading at 60.5%. The next most likely outcome is December 31, 2026 at 53.5%. Total volume is $29K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2025.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2025.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
914h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
914h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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