Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
December 31, 2026
$2K volume
44.0%
—
September 30, 2026
$6K volume
39.0%
—
June 30, 2026
$5K volume
8.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 9m ago
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
Live prediction market odds for "Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?". December 31, 2026 is leading at 44.0%. The next most likely outcome is September 30, 2026 at 39.0%. Total volume is $81K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
December 31, 2026
44.0%
Total Vol
$81K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?". December 31, 2026 is leading at 44.0%. The next most likely outcome is September 30, 2026 at 39.0%. Total volume is $81K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
30%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 6 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
17%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
3569h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
30%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
17%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
3569h
Avg Sentiment
+0.042
Neutral %
83%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Arc Raiders High Gain Antenna Project Guide
Bing News·5d ago·neutral
India’s ARC token set to launch in Q1 2026, aims to bolster domestic economy - Crypto Briefing
Crypto Briefing·136d ago·neutral
Top Base DEX Aerodrome launches upgrade suite, expands to Ethereum and Circle’s Arc - The Block
The Block·144d ago·bullish
ARC Raiders Giving Away 500 Free Tokens to Some Players
Bing News·152d ago·neutral
Zcash reclaims $200 level after three years amid renewed interest in privacy coins - The Block
The Block·177d ago·neutral
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