Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
December 31, 2026
$7K volume
29.5%
—
Live marketEnds Sep 30, 2025 (Ended)Updated 11m ago
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
Live prediction market odds for "Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...? ". December 31, 2026 is leading at 29.5%. Total volume is $81K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Sep 30, 2025.
Leading Outcome
December 31, 2026
29.5%
Total Vol
$81K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...? ". December 31, 2026 is leading at 29.5%. Total volume is $81K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Sep 30, 2025.
Expected resolution date: Sep 30, 2025.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
bullishConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
80%
Confidence
High confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.500 from 9 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 6 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
80%
Label
bullish
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
80%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
11%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
5764h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
80%
Label
bullish
Bullish %
11%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
5764h
Avg Sentiment
+0.056
Neutral %
89%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Tensions over El Salvador's bitcoin holdings ease as IMF praises economic progress
Bing News·103d ago·bullish
El Salvador adds another 21 BTC on the nation’s Bitcoin Day
Bing News·209d ago·neutral
El Salvador’s Bukele reacts as $1B Bitcoin holdings bet increases on Kalshi
Bing News·221d ago·neutral
El Salvador passes law letting investment banks hold bitcoin, serve qualified clients - The Block
The Block·238d ago·neutral
Bitcoin investment banks coming to El Salvador — Gov regulator
Bing News·240d ago·neutral
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