Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Gold
$233K volume
55.5%
—
Bitcoin
$375K volume
28.5%
—
S&P 500
$119K volume
14.5%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 3m ago
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Live prediction market odds for "Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026". Gold is leading at 55.5%. The next most likely outcome is Bitcoin at 28.5%. Total volume is $727K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Gold
55.5%
Total Vol
$727K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026". Gold is leading at 55.5%. The next most likely outcome is Bitcoin at 28.5%. Total volume is $727K across 3 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.016 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 4 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.50x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
101h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
101h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
50%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
'I Wouldn't Invest $1'—Hayes Warns $60K Bitcoin Crash Before $250K
Bing News·10h ago·bearish
Bitcoin Outperforms Gold and S&P 500 After Global Crises, Study Finds - CoinCentral
CoinCentral·15h ago·neutral
Bitcoin Surges Past Gold and S&P 500 Following Major Global Disruptions, Research Reveals
Bing News·21h ago·bullish
Bitcoin tends to outperform gold and stocks after global shocks, Mercado Bitcoin finds
Bing News·1d ago·bullish
Binance Gold & Silver Futures Soar: Why Traders Are Swapping BTC for Bullion - Coinpedia
Coinpedia·1d ago·neutral
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