Market comparison

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

1 venue · 3 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

3 outcomes · $961K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Bitcoin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% Bitcoin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gold Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Gold Open Polymarket ↗	—
S&P 500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 76.0% S&P 500 Open Polymarket ↗	—

Bitcoin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Bitcoin

Open Polymarket ↗

Gold

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Gold

Open Polymarket ↗

S&P 500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

74.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 76.0%

S&P 500

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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