Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
France
$25K volume
69.5%
—
Norway
$10K volume
20.5%
—
Senegal
$12K volume
8.5%
—
BOL/IRQ/SUR
$40K volume
0.7%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 27, 2026 (2mo)Updated 2m ago
FIFA World Cup Group I Winner
Live prediction market odds for "FIFA World Cup Group I Winner". France is leading at 69.5%. The next most likely outcome is Norway at 20.5%. Total volume is $87K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 27, 2026.
Leading Outcome
France
69.5%
Total Vol
$87K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "FIFA World Cup Group I Winner". France is leading at 69.5%. The next most likely outcome is Norway at 20.5%. Total volume is $87K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 27, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 27, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.009 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 6 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
81h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
81h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
2026 World Cup Group J Analysis: Can Argentina Avoid The Champion's Curse? - TWSN Sports
TWSN Sports·18h ago·neutral
Every team's championship, group odds for the 2026 World Cup - ESPN
ESPN·1d ago·neutral
Former World Cup-winning coach - who once picked his nose and LICKED his finger - 'set to take charge of England's group stage opponents' 16 years on from knocking Three Lions out in South Africa - Daily Mail
Daily Mail·3d ago·neutral
Guide to Group D at World Cup 2026 - The New York Times
The New York Times·3d ago·neutral
Guide to Group K at World Cup 2026 - The New York Times
The New York Times·3d ago·neutral
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