HomeSports2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Live marketEnds Jul 20, 2026 (3mo)Updated 4m ago

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Live prediction market odds for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ". Spain is leading at 16.0%. The next most likely outcome is France at 13.5%. Total volume is $502.9M across 48 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jul 20, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Spain
16.0%
Total Vol
$502.9M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Spain
$9.1M volume
16.0%
France
$7.5M volume
13.5%
England
$8.8M volume
11.2%
Argentina
$8.5M volume
9.2%
Brazil
$8.5M volume
8.6%
Portugal
$9.3M volume
7.0%
Germany
$7.7M volume
5.5%
Netherlands
$9.8M volume
3.4%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ". Spain is leading at 16.0%. The next most likely outcome is France at 13.5%. Total volume is $502.9M across 48 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jul 20, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Jul 20, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
18h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
18h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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