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Trading ended on Jul 20, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
France17.6%18.6%17.6% fair18.5¢ bid, 18.6¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago18.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $538 (5.38x)France17.6%Polymarket 18.6%(17.6% fair)polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 18.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $538 (5.38x)
France
17.6%
18.6%
17.6% fair
18.5¢ bid, 18.6¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
18.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $538 (5.38x)
France
17.6%
Polymarket 18.6%(17.6% fair)polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 18.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $538 (5.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- France
- Last price
- 18.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 17.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 18.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $538 (5.38x)
- Volume
- $27.1M
Spain16.1%17%16.1% fair16.9¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Spain16.1%Polymarket 17%(16.1% fair)polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Spain
16.1%
17%
16.1% fair
16.9¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Spain
16.1%
Polymarket 17%(16.1% fair)polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spain
- Last price
- 17%
- Fair, margin removed
- 16.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 16.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $21.3M
England10.9%11.5%10.9% fair11.4¢ bid, 11.5¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago11.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $870 (8.70x)England10.9%Polymarket 11.5%(10.9% fair)polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 11.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $870 (8.70x)
England
10.9%
11.5%
10.9% fair
11.4¢ bid, 11.5¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
11.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $870 (8.70x)
England
10.9%
Polymarket 11.5%(10.9% fair)polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 11.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $870 (8.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- England
- Last price
- 11.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 11.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $870 (8.70x)
- Volume
- $17.4M
Brazil8.7%9.2%9.1¢ bid, 9.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago9.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)Brazil8.7%Polymarket 9.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Brazil
8.7%
9.2%
9.1¢ bid, 9.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
9.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Brazil
8.7%
Polymarket 9.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brazil
- Last price
- 9.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,087 (10.9x)
- Volume
- $18.8M
Argentina8.1%8.6%8.5¢ bid, 8.6¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago8.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)Argentina8.1%Polymarket 8.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Argentina
8.1%
8.6%
8.5¢ bid, 8.6¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
8.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Argentina
8.1%
Polymarket 8.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Argentina
- Last price
- 8.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,163 (11.6x)
- Volume
- $18.4M
Portugal7.8%8.3%8.2¢ bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago8.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)Portugal7.8%Polymarket 8.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Portugal
7.8%
8.3%
8.2¢ bid, 8.3¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
8.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Portugal
7.8%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Portugal
- Last price
- 8.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
- Volume
- $20.1M
Germany4.9%5.2%5.1¢ bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago5.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)Germany4.9%Polymarket 5.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Germany
4.9%
5.2%
5.1¢ bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
5.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Germany
4.9%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Germany
- Last price
- 5.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
- Volume
- $17.1M
Netherlands3.3%3.5%3.4¢ bid, 3.5¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago3.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)Netherlands3.3%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Netherlands
3.3%
3.5%
3.4¢ bid, 3.5¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
3.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Netherlands
3.3%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Netherlands
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,857 (28.6x)
- Volume
- $19.2M
Norway2.1%2.3%2.2¢ bid, 2.3¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Norway2.1%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Norway
2.1%
2.3%
2.2¢ bid, 2.3¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Norway
2.1%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Norway
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
- Volume
- $17.7M
Japan2%2.1%2¢ bid, 2.1¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago2.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)Japan2%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Japan
2%
2.1%
2¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
2.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Japan
2%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Japan
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
- Volume
- $22.0M
Show 37 more outcomesHide 37 outcomes
Belgium1.8%1.9%1.8¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Belgium1.8%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Belgium
1.8%
1.9%
1.8¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Belgium
1.8%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Belgium
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $16.8M
Colombia1.6%1.7%1.6¢ bid, 1.7¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago1.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)Colombia1.6%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Colombia
1.6%
1.7%
1.6¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
1.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Colombia
1.6%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Colombia
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,882 (58.8x)
- Volume
- $15.7M
Morocco1.5%1.6%1.5¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Morocco1.5%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Morocco
1.5%
1.6%
1.5¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Morocco
1.5%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Morocco
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $20.6M
USA1.5%1.6%1.5¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)USA1.5%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
USA
1.5%
1.6%
1.5¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
USA
1.5%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- USA
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $32.2M
Switzerland1.1%1.2%1.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Switzerland1.1%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Switzerland
1.1%
1.2%
1.1¢ bid, 1.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Switzerland
1.1%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Switzerland
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $18.0M
Mexico1%1.1%1¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Mexico1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Mexico
1%
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Mexico
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mexico
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $19.5M
Uruguay1%1.1%1¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)Uruguay1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Uruguay
1%
1.1%
1¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Uruguay
1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Uruguay
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $17.9M
Croatia0.9%1%0.9¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Croatia0.9%Polymarket 1%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Croatia
0.9%
1%
0.9¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Croatia
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Croatia
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $21.4M
Ecuador0.7%0.8%0.7¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Ecuador0.7%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Ecuador
0.7%
0.8%
0.7¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Ecuador
0.7%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ecuador
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $21.8M
Senegal0.7%0.8%0.7¢ bid, 0.8¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $12,500 (125x)Senegal0.7%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Senegal
0.7%
0.8%
0.7¢ bid, 0.8¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Senegal
0.7%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Senegal
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $12,500 (125x)
- Volume
- $17.5M
Team AF0.6%0.7%0.6¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Team AF0.6%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Team AF
0.6%
0.7%
0.6¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Team AF
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Team AF
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $10.9M
Austria0.5%0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Austria0.5%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Austria
0.5%
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Austria
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Austria
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $18.7M
Team AA0.5%0.6%0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Team AA0.5%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Team AA
0.5%
0.6%
0.5¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Team AA
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Team AA
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $9.9M
Canada0.4%0.5%0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Canada0.4%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Canada
0.4%
0.5%
0.4¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Canada
0.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Canada
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $23.0M
Egypt0.3%0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Egypt0.3%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Egypt
0.3%
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Egypt
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Egypt
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $23.7M
Ivory Coast0.3%0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Ivory Coast0.3%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ivory Coast
0.3%
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Ivory Coast
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ivory Coast
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $23.3M
Paraguay0.3%0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Paraguay0.3%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Paraguay
0.3%
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Paraguay
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Paraguay
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $19.7M
Scotland0.3%0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Scotland0.3%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Scotland
0.3%
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Scotland
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scotland
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $18.6M
South Korea0.3%0.4%0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)South Korea0.3%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
South Korea
0.3%
0.4%
0.3¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
South Korea
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- South Korea
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $24.4M
Algeria0.2%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Algeria0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Algeria
0.2%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Algeria
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Algeria
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $21.8M
Australia0.2%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Australia0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Australia
0.2%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Australia
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Australia
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $23.8M
Cape Verde0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Cape Verde0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Cape Verde
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Cape Verde
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Cape Verde
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $23.0M
Curaçao0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Curaçao0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Curaçao
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Curaçao
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Curaçao
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $36.5M
Ghana0.2%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Ghana0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Ghana
0.2%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Ghana
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ghana
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $18.2M
Haiti0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Haiti0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Haiti
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Haiti
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Haiti
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $17.8M
Iran0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Iran0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Iran
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Iran
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Iran
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $24.6M
Jordan0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Jordan0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Jordan
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Jordan
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jordan
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $26.0M
New Zealand0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)New Zealand0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
New Zealand
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
New Zealand
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- New Zealand
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $31.0M
Qatar0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Qatar0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Qatar
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Qatar
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Qatar
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $24.6M
Saudi Arabia0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Saudi Arabia0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Saudi Arabia
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Saudi Arabia
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Saudi Arabia
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $27.6M
South Africa0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)South Africa0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
South Africa
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
South Africa
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- South Africa
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $27.1M
Team AD0.2%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Team AD0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Team AD
0.2%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Team AD
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Team AD
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $10.7M
Team AE0.2%0.3%0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $33,333 (333x)Team AE0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Team AE
0.2%
0.3%
0.2¢ bid, 0.3¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Team AE
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Team AE
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $33,333 (333x)
- Volume
- $9.4M
Team AB0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Team AB0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Team AB
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Team AB
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Team AB
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $16.5M
Team AC0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Team AC0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Team AC
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Team AC
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Team AC
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $12.5M
Tunisia0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Tunisia0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Tunisia
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Tunisia
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tunisia
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $22.3M
Uzbekistan0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 3832 h ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Uzbekistan0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Uzbekistan
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 3832 h ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Uzbekistan
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 3832 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Uzbekistan
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $38.9M
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- France
- Spain
- England
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ". France last traded at 17.6%. Next is Spain at 16.1%. $1.0B has traded across 47 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jul 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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