Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Ethan Hawke
$1.7M volume
0.1%
—
Leonardo DiCaprio
$2.1M volume
0.1%
—
Timothée Chalamet
$2.5M volume
0.1%
—
Wagner Moura
$1.6M volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 15, 2026 (Ended)Updated 20d ago
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner". Ethan Hawke is leading at 0.1%. The next most likely outcome is Leonardo DiCaprio at 0.1%. Total volume is $13.3M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Ethan Hawke
0.1%
Total Vol
$13.3M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner". Ethan Hawke is leading at 0.1%. The next most likely outcome is Leonardo DiCaprio at 0.1%. Total volume is $13.3M across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 15, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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