Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Sean Penn
$685K volume
100.0%
—
Jacob Elordi
$368K volume
0.1%
—
Stellan Skarsgård
$3.1M volume
0.1%
—
Delroy Lindo
$590K volume
0.1%
—
Benicio Del Toro
$501K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Mar 15, 2026 (Ended)Updated 20d ago
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner". Sean Penn is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Jacob Elordi at 0.1%. Total volume is $5.7M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Sean Penn
100.0%
Total Vol
$5.7M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner". Sean Penn is leading at 100.0%. The next most likely outcome is Jacob Elordi at 0.1%. Total volume is $5.7M across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Mar 15, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Mar 15, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 24 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
470h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
470h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Oscars 2026 Winners: See the Complete List - Oscars 2026 News | 98th Academy Awards - ABC Network
ABC Network·1d ago·neutral
10 actors with multiple 2027 Oscar contenders from A(nne Hathaway) to Z(endaya) - Gold Derby
Gold Derby·3d ago·neutral
Oscars 2026: So What Did We Learn? - The Ankler
The Ankler·17d ago·neutral
Oscars 2026 Winners: The Complete List - nytimes.com
nytimes.com·19d ago·neutral
2026 Oscars winners and nominees: what's next for Hollywood's biggest stars? - ABC7 Los Angeles
ABC7 Los Angeles·19d ago·neutral
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