HomeSportsUFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 4m ago

UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?". Ilia Topuria is leading at 65.0%. The next most likely outcome is Arman Tsarukyan at 25.0%. Total volume is $42K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Ilia Topuria
65.0%
Total Vol
$42K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Ilia Topuria
$11K volume
65.0%
Arman Tsarukyan
$11K volume
25.0%
Justin Gaethje
$5K volume
12.0%
Charles Oliveira
$4K volume
7.0%
Islam Makhachev
$4K volume
2.0%
Max Holloway
$3K volume
2.0%
Alexander Volkanovski
$195 volume
1.0%
Dan Hooker
$6 volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?". Ilia Topuria is leading at 65.0%. The next most likely outcome is Arman Tsarukyan at 25.0%. Total volume is $42K across 11 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
802h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
802h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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