Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Mexico
$9K volume
49.0%
—
Czechia
$2K volume
24.0%
—
Korea Republic
$5K volume
23.0%
—
South Africa
$2K volume
5.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jul 11, 2026 (3mo)Updated 14m ago
World Cup Group A Winner
Live prediction market odds for "World Cup Group A Winner". Mexico is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Czechia at 24.0%. Total volume is $28K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 11, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Mexico
49.0%
Total Vol
$28K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "World Cup Group A Winner". Mexico is leading at 49.0%. The next most likely outcome is Czechia at 24.0%. Total volume is $28K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jul 11, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jul 11, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.019 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 5 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
7
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
79h
Sources
7
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
79h
Avg Sentiment
+0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Guide to Group K at World Cup 2026 - The New York Times
The New York Times·2d ago·neutral
Guide to Group D at World Cup 2026 - The New York Times
The New York Times·2d ago·neutral
World Cup Title Favorites, Sleepers, Debut Teams? All 48 Teams By Tiers - FOX Sports
FOX Sports·2d ago·neutral
2026 World Cup Group J Preview: Argentina, Algeria, Austria & Jordan - RotoWire
RotoWire·3d ago·neutral
DR Congo and Sweden secure spots to play in Houston during 2026 FIFA World Cup - Houston Public Media
Houston Public Media·3d ago·neutral
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