Home📌Other2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
Live marketEnds Nov 3, 2027 (1y 210d)Updated 3m ago

2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?

Live prediction market odds for "2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?". 125 million and above is leading at 27.0%. The next most likely outcome is 115 to 119.99 million at 22.0%. Total volume is $47K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2027.

Leading Outcome
125 million and above
27.0%
Total Vol
$47K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
125 million and above
$13K volume
27.0%
115 to 119.99 million
$6K volume
22.0%
120 to 124.99 million
$8K volume
21.0%
110 to 114.99 million
$7K volume
14.0%
105 to 109.99 million
$6 volume
8.0%
100 to 104.99 million
$2K volume
4.0%
Less than 90 million
$7K volume
3.0%
90 to 94.99 million
$1K volume
2.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?". 125 million and above is leading at 27.0%. The next most likely outcome is 115 to 119.99 million at 22.0%. Total volume is $47K across 9 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Nov 3, 2027.

Expected resolution date: Nov 3, 2027.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.009 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 3 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
464h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
464h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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