Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
At least 1550 score
$17K volume
60.0%
—
At least 1600 score
$9K volume
30.0%
—
At least 1650 score
$2K volume
19.0%
—
At least 1750 score
$2K volume
13.0%
—
At least 1700 score
$1K volume
8.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (9mo)Updated 8m ago
AI capability growth this year?
Live prediction market odds for "AI capability growth this year?". At least 1550 score is leading at 60.0%. The next most likely outcome is At least 1600 score at 30.0%. Total volume is $42K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
At least 1550 score
60.0%
Total Vol
$42K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "AI capability growth this year?". At least 1550 score is leading at 60.0%. The next most likely outcome is At least 1600 score at 30.0%. Total volume is $42K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
58%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.117 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 2 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
58%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
7.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
58%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
70%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
251h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
58%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
70%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
251h
Avg Sentiment
+0.225
Neutral %
30%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Wipro secures 8-year AI deal with Olam Group worth over $1B to transform agri-operations.
Bing News·12h ago·neutral
ByteZero Inc Reports 300% Growth in AI-Powered Legal Marketing and SMB Services
Bing News·18h ago·bullish
Cloudastructure Reports 2025 Year-End Results With 271% Year-over-Year Revenue Growth
Bing News·5d ago·bullish
KBR (KBR) Invests in Applied Computing to Expand AI Capabilities
Bing News·5d ago·neutral
CMOs Face Headwinds Even as Marketing Value and AI Impact Grow
Bing News·6d ago·bullish
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