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The same outcome on both venues, with settlement rules checked by a person. Busiest markets first; each row shows how old its prices are.
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| Venues | Event | Lead odds | 24H volume | State | Closes | Observed | Compare prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
  | When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Apr 1, 2027 · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 93.0% | $268K | Open · recently observed | 5mo | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Google market share this week Above 16.6% · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 91.0% | $119K | Open · recently observed | 3d | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Which company has the best AI model end of October? Google · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 87.6% | $116K | Open · recently observed | 8d | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Anthropic · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 46.5% | $116K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| Best AI at the end of 2026? Claude · 📊 ai_tech | 49.7% | $55K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Largest Company end of October 2026? NVIDIA · 📊 ai_tech | 69.8% | $54K | Open · recently observed | 9d | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...? December 31, 2029 · 📊 ai_tech | 19.5% | $46K | Open · recently observed | 14mo | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| Anthropic market share this week Above 4.1% · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 99.0% | $32K | Open · recently observed | 3d | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Best AI in Oct 2026? Gemini · 📊 ai_tech | 87.0% | $30K | Open · recently observed | 8d | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| How many launches will SpaceX have in October? Above 7 · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 99.0% | $26K | Open · recently observed | 9d | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...? No release by October 31 · 📊 ai_tech | 54.6% | $24K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| OpenAI market share this week Above 14.7% · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 99.0% | $24K | Open · recently observed | 3d | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? Google · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 58.0% | $23K | Open · recently observed | 1mo | fresh · 4m ago | View prices → |
| In which month will Anthropic IPO? November 2026 · 📊 ai_tech | 74.5% | $20K | Open · recently observed | 14mo | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| Best AI this week Gemini · 📊 ai_tech | 95.0% | $17K | Open · recently observed | 3d | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? 0 · 📊 ai_tech | 78.5% | $16K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 4m ago | View prices → |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on October 22? $210 · 📊 ai_tech | 93.7% | $12K | Closing soon | 1h | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 Above 560 · 📊 ai_tech | 97.0% | $12K | Open · recently observed | 17mo | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026? Microsoft · 📊 ai_tech | 44.5% | $11K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? Anthropic · 📊 ai_tech | 94.6% | $9K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026 Above $205 · 📊 ai_tech | 98.0% | $9K | Open · recently observed | 6mo | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? $1.50–$1.75T · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 46.8% | $9K | Open · recently observed | 14mo | fresh · 5m ago | View prices → |
| Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 22? $510 · 📊 ai_tech | 98.0% | $8K | Closing soon | 1h | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| OpenAI IPO by...? June 30, 2027 · 📊 ai_tech | 33.5% | $8K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 5m ago | View prices → |
| OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel) Above 11.5% · 📊 ai_tech | 99.0% | $8K | Closing soon | 9h | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap 1.8T+ · 📊 ai_tech | 54.5% | $8K | Open · recently observed | 14mo | fresh · 4m ago | View prices → |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap 1.5T+ · 📊 ai_tech | 43.0% | $8K | Open · recently observed | 14mo | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| # of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026? 5+ · 📊 ai_tech | 98.7% | $8K | Open · recently observed | 9d | fresh · 5m ago | View prices → |
| GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut? 1430+ · 📊 ai_tech | 88.0% | $8K | Open · recently observed | 8mo | fresh · 4m ago | View prices → |
| Best Chinese AI Company end of October? Xiaomi · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 68.7% | $7K | Open · recently observed | 8d | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? Yes · 📊 ai_tech | 18.0% | $7K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 5m ago | View prices → |
| #2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19? Google · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 56.5% | $7K | Open · recently observed | 4d | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026 Above 225 million · 📊 ai_tech | 85.0% | $7K | Open · recently observed | 17mo | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 22? $360 · 📊 ai_tech | 90.5% | $7K | Closing soon | 1h | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| 3rd Largest Company end of October? Alphabet · 📊 ai_tech | 57.0% | $6K | Open · recently observed | 9d | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19? OpenAI · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 60.0% | $5K | Open · recently observed | 4d | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? Alibaba · 📊 ai_tech | 72.5% | $5K | Open · recently observed | 8d | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? November 30–December 6 · 📊 ai_tech | 19.5% | $5K | Open · recently observed | 4d | fresh · 5m ago | View prices → |
| Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October? Moonshot · 📊 ai_tech | 45.5% | $5K | Open · recently observed | 8d | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? CATL · 📊 ai_tech | 19.5% | $4K | Open · recently observed | 8mo | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? Before Jan 1, 2027 · 📊 ai_tech | 33.0% | $4K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...? No release by November 30 · 📊 ai_tech | 27.5% | $4K | Open · recently observed | 1d | fresh · 5m ago | View prices → |
| Tesla Optimus released this year? Before 2027 · 📊 ai_tech | 7.0% | $4K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? Above 120 · 📊 ai_tech Comparable across venues · settlement rules unverified | 99.0% | $4K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 3m ago | View prices → |
| SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026? $2.00-$2.25T · 📊 ai_tech | 33.0% | $4K | Open · recently observed | 1mo | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) Meta · 📊 ai_tech | 50.5% | $4K | Open · recently observed | 8d | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| United Airlines passengers flown in 2026 Above 180 million · 📊 ai_tech | 99.0% | $3K | Open · recently observed | 17mo | fresh · 8s ago | View prices → |
| #2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) Meta · 📊 ai_tech | 48.0% | $3K | Open · recently observed | 8d | fresh · 1m ago | View prices → |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by...? December 31 · 📊 ai_tech | 11.3% | $3K | Open · recently observed | 2mo | fresh · 5m ago | View prices → |
| Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __? $2.5B · 📊 ai_tech | 92.0% | $3K | Open · recently observed | 1mo | fresh · 5m ago | View prices → |
Before Apr 1, 2027
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Above 16.6%
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Anthropic
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Claude
NVIDIA
December 31, 2029
Above 4.1%
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Gemini
Above 7
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
No release by October 31
Above 14.7%
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
November 2026
Gemini
0
$210
Above 560
Microsoft
Anthropic
Above $205
$1.50–$1.75T
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
$510
June 30, 2027
Above 11.5%
1.8T+
1.5T+
5+
1430+
Xiaomi
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Yes
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Above 225 million
$360
Alphabet
OpenAI
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
Alibaba
November 30–December 6
Moonshot
CATL
Before Jan 1, 2027
No release by November 30
Before 2027
Above 120
Comparable across venues · rules unverified
$2.00-$2.25T
Meta
Above 180 million
Meta
December 31
$2.5B