Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
April 30
$417K volume
23.5%
—
March 31
$312K volume
0.4%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 30, 2026 (23d)Updated 9m ago
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Live prediction market odds for "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?". April 30 is leading at 23.5%. The next most likely outcome is March 31 at 0.4%. Total volume is $729K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.
Leading Outcome
April 30
23.5%
Total Vol
$729K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?". April 30 is leading at 23.5%. The next most likely outcome is March 31 at 0.4%. Total volume is $729K across 2 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 30, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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