Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Maintain current rate
$11K volume
97.0%
—
Cut more than 25bps
$2K volume
4.0%
—
Hike more than 25bps
$823 volume
4.0%
—
Cut 1-25bps
$4K volume
4.0%
—
Hike 1-25bps
$3K volume
4.0%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 10, 2026 (4d)Updated 15m ago
Bank of Korea rate decision in April
Live prediction market odds for "Bank of Korea rate decision in April". Maintain current rate is leading at 97.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut more than 25bps at 4.0%. Total volume is $21K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 10, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Maintain current rate
97.0%
Total Vol
$21K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Bank of Korea rate decision in April". Maintain current rate is leading at 97.0%. The next most likely outcome is Cut more than 25bps at 4.0%. Total volume is $21K across 5 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Apr 10, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 10, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
51%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.018 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 7 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
2.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
278h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
51%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
20%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
278h
Avg Sentiment
+0.050
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Bank of Korea’s decision to keep rates unchanged in April conceals a significant likelihood of an upcoming shift in policy direction - bitget.com
bitget.com·1d ago·neutral
Asia week ahead: Korea rate decision, inflation data from China and Taiwan - ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK
ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK·3d ago·neutral
Oil drives South Korean inflation higher, but government curbs keep it contained - ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK
ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK·3d ago·neutral
South Korea Exports Continue To Surge Despite Escalating Iran Risks - BusinessToday Malaysia
BusinessToday Malaysia·4d ago·bullish
Slower Tokyo inflation unlikely to deter Bank of Japan’s April hike - ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK
ING THINK economic and financial analysis | ING THINK·5d ago·neutral
Related Economics Markets
Fed decision in March?
Lead 0.1% · 25+ bps increase
Vol $518.6M
Fed decision in April?
Lead 98.0% · No change
Vol $54.5M
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Lead 84.6% · Yes
Vol $21.3M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Lead 37.8% · 0 (0 bps)
Vol $16.4M
Fed decision in Apr 2026?
Lead 99.0% · Fed maintains rate
Vol $10.0M
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Lead 30.9% · 3.75%
Vol $6.0M