Live prediction market odds for "How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?". 0 (0 bps) is leading at 37.5%. The next most likely outcome is 1 (25 bps) at 23.5%. Total volume is $16.3M across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Live prediction market odds for "How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?". 0 (0 bps) is leading at 37.5%. The next most likely outcome is 1 (25 bps) at 23.5%. Total volume is $16.3M across 13 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
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Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.