Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
2B
$203K volume
61.5%
—
4B
$59K volume
35.0%
—
6B
$103K volume
25.0%
—
8B
$52K volume
23.0%
—
10B
$35K volume
17.5%
—
12B
$71K volume
15.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2028 (1y 269d)Updated 1h ago
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Live prediction market odds for "Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?". 2B is leading at 61.5%. The next most likely outcome is 4B at 35.0%. Total volume is $523K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2028.
Leading Outcome
2B
61.5%
Total Vol
$523K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?". 2B is leading at 61.5%. The next most likely outcome is 4B at 35.0%. Total volume is $523K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2028.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2028.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
unavailableConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
0%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score — from 0 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
0
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Sources
0
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
0%
Label
unavailable
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
—
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
0%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: No coverage
Sentiment snapshot is not ready yet for this event. Background refresh will populate it shortly.
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