Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$86K volume
69.5%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 25, 2026 (2mo)Updated 12m ago
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Live prediction market odds for "Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?". Yes is leading at 69.5%. Total volume is $86K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 25, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Yes
69.5%
Total Vol
$86K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?". Yes is leading at 69.5%. Total volume is $86K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 25, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 25, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
6
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
98h
Sources
6
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
98h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Billionaire fortunes have reached all-time highs under Trump. So has the movement to tax them - The Guardian
The Guardian·2d ago·neutral
Billionaire fortunes have reached all-time highs under Trump. So has the movement to tax them
Bing News·2d ago·neutral
The tax escape map: Billionaires are bolting for Florida from the West Coast and taking billions in tax revenue with them - Fortune
Fortune·3d ago·neutral
The tax escape map: Billionaires are bolting for Florida from the West Coast and taking billions in tax revenue with them
Bing News·3d ago·neutral
Thousands of Layoffs at California Hospitals Underscore Calls for Billionaire Tax - Common Dreams
Common Dreams·4d ago·neutral
Related Markets Markets
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Lead 100.0% · June 30 (0x43c7e8)
Vol $69.8M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Lead 0.1% · Yes
Vol $29.7M
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Lead 99.9% · Anthropic
Vol $16.2M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Lead 9.8% · Yes
Vol $14.7M
When will DHS be funded again?
Lead 97.0% · Before Jan 1, 2027
Vol $13.5M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Lead 29.5% · Yes
Vol $12.4M