Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Yes
$54K volume
40.5%
—
Live marketEnds Dec 31, 2026 (8mo)Updated 7m ago
Canada recession before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for "Canada recession before 2027?". Yes is leading at 40.5%. Total volume is $54K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Yes
40.5%
Total Vol
$54K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Canada recession before 2027?". Yes is leading at 40.5%. Total volume is $54K across 1 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Dec 31, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Dec 31, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 24 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.50x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
1297h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
20%
Median Age
1297h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: google_news_rss
Latest News
Global inflation rate 2025 - Statista
Statista·16d ago·neutral
Provincial Economic Forecast - TD Economics
TD Economics·18d ago·neutral
Canadian Quarterly Economic Forecast - TD Economics
TD Economics·19d ago·neutral
CUSMA review critical to Canada, U.S. not so much - Investment Executive
Investment Executive·39d ago·neutral
Real Estate Forecast for the Next 5 Years in Ontario: 2026-2030 - Norada Real Estate Investments
Norada Real Estate Investments·53d ago·neutral
Related Economics Markets
Fed decision in March?
Lead 0.1% · 25+ bps increase
Vol $518.6M
Fed decision in April?
Lead 98.3% · No change
Vol $54.2M
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Lead 85.0% · Yes
Vol $21.2M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Lead 37.8% · 0 (0 bps)
Vol $16.4M
Fed decision in Apr 2026?
Lead 99.0% · Fed maintains rate
Vol $9.9M
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Lead 30.9% · 3.75%
Vol $6.0M