Home📈EconomicsCentral Bank of Brazil Rate Decision in April
Live marketEnds May 6, 2026 (1mo)Updated 15m ago

Central Bank of Brazil Rate Decision in April

Live prediction market odds for "Central Bank of Brazil Rate Decision in April". Cut 25 basis points is leading at 31.0%. The next most likely outcome is Hike 25 basis points at 20.0%. Total volume is $28K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 6, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Cut 25 basis points
31.0%
Total Vol
$28K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Cut 25 basis points
$2K volume
31.0%
Hike 25 basis points
$3K volume
20.0%
Maintain current rate
$6K volume
16.0%
Cut 50 basis points
$3K volume
8.0%
Hike more than 50bp
$9K volume
1.0%
Cut more than 50bp
$890 volume
1.0%
Hike 50 basis points
$4K volume
1.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "Central Bank of Brazil Rate Decision in April". Cut 25 basis points is leading at 31.0%. The next most likely outcome is Hike 25 basis points at 20.0%. Total volume is $28K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 6, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 6, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 6 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
5
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
458h
Sources
5
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
30%
Median Age
458h
Avg Sentiment
-0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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