Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
5.0-5.5%
$25K volume
54.5%
—
4.5-5.0%
$24K volume
42.5%
—
5.5-6.0%
$59K volume
3.2%
—
4.0-4.5%
$38K volume
0.7%
—
6.0%+
$26K volume
0.5%
—
3.5-4.0%
$56K volume
0.1%
—
3.5%
$20K volume
0.1%
—
Live marketEnds Apr 17, 2026 (11d)Updated 5m ago
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?". 5.0-5.5% is leading at 54.5%. The next most likely outcome is 4.5-5.0% at 42.5%. Total volume is $247K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 17, 2026.
Leading Outcome
5.0-5.5%
54.5%
Total Vol
$247K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?". 5.0-5.5% is leading at 54.5%. The next most likely outcome is 4.5-5.0% at 42.5%. Total volume is $247K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 17, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Apr 17, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
57%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.102 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 15 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
3.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
102h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
57%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
30%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
102h
Avg Sentiment
+0.075
Neutral %
70%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Tesla Tops South Korea's Car Market in Q1 2026: Marking a Historic Shift in Automotive Hierarchy - OpenTools
OpenTools·6h ago·neutral
Vietnam Q1 growth slows as costlier Middle East energy tests 2026 target - CNA
CNA·1d ago·bullish
Vietnam Q1 growth slows as costlier Middle East energy tests 2026 target - Reuters
Reuters·1d ago·bullish
Tesla's stock suffers steepest drop of 2026 on disappointing deliveries report - CNBC
CNBC·3d ago·neutral
China: Growth outlook stays resilient – Standard Chartered - TMGM
TMGM·3d ago·bullish
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