Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Exactly -0.2%
$14K volume
25.0%
—
Exactly 0.3%
$30K volume
25.0%
—
Exactly 0.4%
$1 volume
10.0%
—
Exactly -0.1%
$289K volume
9.0%
—
Exactly 0.0%
$24K volume
8.0%
—
Exactly 0.5%
$23K volume
8.0%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 10, 2026 (2mo)Updated 15m ago
CPI core month-over-month in May 2026?
Live prediction market odds for "CPI core month-over-month in May 2026?". Exactly -0.2% is leading at 25.0%. The next most likely outcome is Exactly 0.3% at 25.0%. Total volume is $426K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 10, 2026.
Leading Outcome
Exactly -0.2%
25.0%
Total Vol
$426K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "CPI core month-over-month in May 2026?". Exactly -0.2% is leading at 25.0%. The next most likely outcome is Exactly 0.3% at 25.0%. Total volume is $426K across 6 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by Jun 10, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 10, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
54%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.056 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
10
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
271h
Sources
10
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
54%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
271h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
US Inflation Seen Spiking in First Snapshot Since Iran War - Bloomberg.com
Bloomberg.com·9h ago·neutral
Fed Signals No Rate Cuts Before Mid-2026 as Core Inflation Holds at 2.8% for Third Straight Month - altitudesmagazine.com
altitudesmagazine.com·1d ago·bearish
Iran conflict may push US inflation near 4%; recession fears surge - Invezz
Invezz·2d ago·neutral
What to Look Out for in Economic Data This Week (April 6-10) - Kiplinger
Kiplinger·2d ago·neutral
Inflation in the UK: Economic indicators - The House of Commons Library
The House of Commons Library·10d ago·neutral
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