Home📈EconomicsCPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?
Live marketEnds May 12, 2026 (1mo)Updated 3m ago

CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?

Live prediction market odds for "CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?". Exactly 2.8% is leading at 67.0%. The next most likely outcome is Exactly 3.7% at 16.0%. Total volume is $306K across 21 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 12, 2026.

Leading Outcome
Exactly 2.8%
67.0%
Total Vol
$306K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Kalshi only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
Exactly 2.8%
$193 volume
67.0%
Exactly 3.7%
$207 volume
16.0%
Exactly 3.4%
$63K volume
15.0%
Exactly 3.2%
$19K volume
15.0%
Exactly 3.5%
$7K volume
12.0%
Exactly 2.7%
$104 volume
11.0%
Exactly 3.8%
$412 volume
11.0%
Exactly 4.0%
$849 volume
10.0%

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "CPI year-over-year in Apr 2026?". Exactly 2.8% is leading at 67.0%. The next most likely outcome is Exactly 3.7% at 16.0%. Total volume is $306K across 21 active outcomes. Data sources: Kalshi. Expected resolution by May 12, 2026.

Expected resolution date: May 12, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

53%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score -0.046 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 0 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
9
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
22h
Sources
9
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
53%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
22h
Avg Sentiment
-0.025
Neutral %
90%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

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