Home›📈Economics›ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
Live marketEnds Apr 30, 2026 (24d)Updated 2m ago

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

Live prediction market odds for "ECB Interest Rates: April 2026". No change is leading at 73.3%. The next most likely outcome is Increase at 26.2%. Total volume is $297K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.

Leading Outcome
No change
73.3%
Total Vol
$297K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line

Current Odds

Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
No change
$83K volume
73.3%
—
Increase
$97K volume
26.2%
—
25 bps decrease
$60K volume
0.1%
—
50+ bps decrease
$57K volume
0.1%
—

How This Market Resolves

Live prediction market odds for "ECB Interest Rates: April 2026". No change is leading at 73.3%. The next most likely outcome is Increase at 26.2%. Total volume is $297K across 4 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Apr 30, 2026.

Expected resolution date: Apr 30, 2026.

FAQ

What does spread mean here?

Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.

Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?

Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.

How fresh is this data?

Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.

News Sentiment Signal

neutral

Confidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.

50%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 15 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
3
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
106h
Sources
3
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
50%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
106h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss

Related Economics Markets

Fed decision in March?

Lead 0.1% · 25+ bps increase
Vol $518.6M

Fed decision in April?

Lead 98.3% · No change
Vol $53.4M

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Lead 85.0% · Yes
Vol $20.8M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Lead 37.6% · 0 (0 bps)
Vol $16.3M

Fed decision in Apr 2026?

Lead 99.0% · Fed maintains rate
Vol $9.9M

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Lead 30.0% · 3.75%
Vol $6.0M

Explore Other Categories