Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
150M
$108K volume
61.0%
—
300M
$619K volume
31.0%
—
500M
$720K volume
15.0%
—
800M
$107K volume
6.0%
—
1B
$62K volume
4.5%
—
2B
$87K volume
3.0%
—
3B
$58K volume
1.9%
—
Live marketEnds Jan 1, 2027 (8mo)Updated 15m ago
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Live prediction market odds for "Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?". 150M is leading at 61.0%. The next most likely outcome is 300M at 31.0%. Total volume is $1.8M across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Leading Outcome
150M
61.0%
Total Vol
$1.8M
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?". 150M is leading at 61.0%. The next most likely outcome is 300M at 31.0%. Total volume is $1.8M across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jan 1, 2027.
Expected resolution date: Jan 1, 2027.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
10%
Confidence
Low confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score 0.000 from 2 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 24 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
10%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
0.00x
Source Diversity
2
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
10%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
215h
Sources
2
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
10%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
0%
Bearish %
0%
Median Age
215h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
100%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
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