Current Odds
Outcome
Market Prob
Spread
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$16K volume
97.2%
—
300–350B
$92K volume
0.3%
—
350–400B
$11K volume
0.3%
—
400B+
$44K volume
0.3%
—
200–250B
$48K volume
0.3%
—
250–300B
$12K volume
0.2%
—
200B
$42K volume
0.2%
—
Live marketEnds Jun 30, 2026 (2mo)Updated 1m ago
Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap
Live prediction market odds for "Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap". No IPO by June 30, 2026 is leading at 97.2%. The next most likely outcome is 300–350B at 0.3%. Total volume is $265K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.
Leading Outcome
No IPO by June 30, 2026
97.2%
Total Vol
$265K
Across all linked platforms
Platform
1
Polymarket only
Best Spread
0 bps
High-confidence matched line
How This Market Resolves
Live prediction market odds for "Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap". No IPO by June 30, 2026 is leading at 97.2%. The next most likely outcome is 300–350B at 0.3%. Total volume is $265K across 7 active outcomes. Data sources: Polymarket. Expected resolution by Jun 30, 2026.
Expected resolution date: Jun 30, 2026.
FAQ
What does spread mean here?
Spread is the cross-platform pricing gap for the same outcome. Larger gaps can signal opportunity, but verify freshness and match quality first.
Are outcomes exactly the same across venues?
Outcomes are canonicalized and confidence-scored. Manual labels are surfaced when venue naming differs materially.
How fresh is this data?
Latest market updates on this page refresh continuously from platform snapshots and event pollers.
News Sentiment Signal
neutralConfidence speedometer for event-level media sentiment. Higher confidence means better source depth and fresher coverage.
60%
Confidence
Moderate confidence signal
Aggregate sentiment score +0.147 from 10 analyzed headlines.
Freshness: unknown · Filtered: 15 prediction-titled articles
Metric Pack A · Lean
Confidence
60%
Label
neutral
Bull/Bear
1.00x
Source Diversity
8
Metric Pack B · Balanced
Confidence
60%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
1038h
Sources
8
Metric Pack C · Power
Confidence
60%
Label
neutral
Bullish %
10%
Bearish %
10%
Median Age
1038h
Avg Sentiment
0.000
Neutral %
80%
Duplicate %
0%
Coverage trend: Low
Providers: bing_news_rss, google_news_rss
Latest News
Bill Ackman told spooked investors to get over the Iran war and buy Fannie and Freddie. Stocks surged 40% the next day - Fortune
Fortune·6d ago·bullish
Bill Ackman Calls Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac 'Stupidly Cheap' Amid Iran War — Michael Burry Agrees - Stocktwits
Stocktwits·7d ago·neutral
Stock Market Today: S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq (COMP) & Dow (DJIA) Fall Fourth Week — SMCI Crashes 27% - TradingNEWS
TradingNEWS·17d ago·bearish
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac IPOs Won’t Happen Soon. The Stocks Still Have Value. - Barron's
Barron's·24d ago·neutral
Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square IPO Is Coming. Should You Buy? - Barron's
Barron's·24d ago·neutral
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